# Fatalities Cost in Mining Technical Guide

## Abstract

To better understand the burden imposed by fatal accidents in the mining industry, it is necessary to develop measures of the economic component of loss to complement existing surveillance research efforts. The Fatalities Cost in Mining web application, developed by the NIOSH Mining Program, uses an adapted version of a well-known cost-of-injury methodology to estimate the societal cost of an individual fatality based on key characteristics of the fatally injured miner. The user can select fatality characteristics (demographics, incident, employer, etc.) and reporting year (2008–2017 currently available) to generate a report and view the average societal costs per fatality as well as the total cost for all fatalities matching the criteria. For example, from 2008 through 2017 there were 404 fatal accidents with a median cost of $1.42 million per fatality and a total societal cost of$554.16 million. Researchers, occupational health professionals, workplace safety organizations, and labor unions have proven to be willing and avid users of past NIOSH estimates. This Technical Guide reviews the Fatalities Cost in Mining web app, including its development and how it can be used to estimate the economic burden of fatal mining injuries.

## Introduction

It is commonly recognized that there are costs involved with fatal injury to workers. These costs generally address the overall costs to victims, families, employers, organizations, and to society as a whole. This wide-ranging national burden imposed by occupational fatalities consists of numerous areas of personal and public life that can include social costs, organizational costs, and even intangible personal costs which can include suffering and grief. It affects personal well-being, family, and relationships with coworkers, communities, companies, and governments.

This burden also includes an economic component of loss. Surveillance data is vitally important for understanding the occupational safety and health of mine workers, and analyzing this data helps in identifying accident trends over time, the magnitude of occupational injuries, identifying risk factors, and setting priorities for prevention research. However, there is a need to better understand the burden levied by fatal occupational injuries and to continue to develop measures of the economic component of loss. The work described in this paper adds an economic dimension to existing mining fatal injury research. The focus is on monetary costs of fatal occupational injury, which largely consist of lost wages and benefits, but also includes the direct costs of medical care and the indirect costs of the decedent’s household production.

This work represents a continuation of previous research by the National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH) that attempted to establish the economic consequences of workplace injury (NIOSH, 2009, 2011). It builds on existing research on the occupational injury economic burden as it focuses on the mining industry and uses specific data from MSHA datasets to make specific burden estimates for individual fatal injuries. And, some of the initial results are captivating. Over 2008–2017, the costs from 404 premature deaths exceeded $554 million, which can provide motivation to reduce the severe toll of occupational fatalities on our nation’s workers, institutions, and communities. Researchers and concerned parties within the occupational and public health professions, academia, organizations focusing on workplace safety, labor unions, and the business community have all proven to be willing and avid users of this data and have used this research to continue their efforts, in concert with continuing NIOSH research efforts, to reduce the great toll that fatal injury imposes on our nation, workplaces, and workers (NIOSH, 2011). ## Methods Identifying Fatal Occupational Injuries in Mining In the United States, the Mine Safety and Health Administration (MSHA) requires all mines and their independent contractors who perform work on mine property to report all occupational injuries (not including first-aid), illnesses, and fatalities as required under the Code of Federal Regulations, Title 30 Part 50 (Notification, investigation, reports and records of accidents, injuries, illnesses, employment, and coal production in mines, 2014). The Accident/Injury/Illness data files and the Address/Employment data files are released annually to the public on the MSHA web site. These data are in the public domain and are provided in statistical analysis software format (SPSS) by the NIOSH Mining Program (NIOSH, 2018). These are the most comprehensive publicly available mining injury data available. For this work, the Accident/Injury/Illness data files for 2008 through 2017 were combined and only fatal injuries were selected. This identified 404 fatal mining injuries for this time period. The mine IDs were matched to those in the Address/Employment data files, and they were merged into to one data file in order to get mine characteristic information for these fatal injuries. Theoretical Basis of Societal Cost Estimation The cost to society of a fatal mining injury was approximated using the cost-of-injury method, which com­bines direct and indirect costs to calculate the total lifetime societal cost of a mining fatality. Direct costs measure the opportunity cost of resources used for medical treatment, while indirect cost measures the value of resources lost due to the premature occupational fatal injury (Segel, 2006). Medical expenses were used to estimate a one-time direct cost of the fatality. The indirect lifetime cost of a fatal mining injury is determined by using the human capital approach, which calculates the present value of lost future compensation (earnings and benefits) and household production. The indirect cost calculations were built on a model developed by Rice (1965), modified by Biddle (2004), and published by NIOSH (2009; 2011). Indirect costs are calculated for each fatality by accounting for: the victim’s probability of survival to the next year, annual wages at time of death, benefits at time of death, expected wage growth after death, lost household production, and the real discount rate. The indirect cost is an annual series of costs starting at the decedent’s age at death ($ad$) and ending at a maximum age of 67 (). All costs are initially calculated in dollars of the year of death ( and then adjusted for inflation using the GDP deflator ($GDPdx$). This adjustment allows the costs of multiple fatalities (which may have occurred in different years) to be reported in a selected common year’s dollars. The mathematical representation of indirect costs have been previously described by Biddle (2004) as: Where: PVF = present discounted value of loss per individual due to a fatal occupational injury $Py,q,s$ (n) = probability that an individual of age y, race q, and sex s will survive to age n q = race of the individual (all races used) s = sex of the individual n = age if the individual had survived = median annual compensation of an employed person of sex s, specific occupation at death j, and age n (includes wages and benefits by detailed industry and wage growth adjustments) j = specific occupation of individual at death $Yshn$ = mean annual imputed value of home production (h) of a person of sex s and age n g = earnings growth rate attributable to overall productivity y = age of the individual at death r = real discount rate (3%) This is easier to understand if the total cost calculation is broken down into three parts: the direct cost, the sum of the indirect costs (from age of death to age 67), and adjusting for inflation. Direct Cost The direct cost has one component: the medical expense adjusted by medical care consumer price index (CPI). Medical expenses were only included in the first year calculations because over 90% of fatalities occurred within one day of the accident (MSHA, 2018). NIOSH-sponsored, preliminary unpublished estimates assessed the average medical cost of a fatal occupational mining injury in 2013 at approximately$70,000. Therefore, the medical expense associated with each fatality is estimated at $70,000 in $yME$ = 2013 dollars. This is adjusted using the medical care CPI ($mcCPIx$) to determine what the medical expense would have been if it had occurred in rather than in $yME$. Medical Expense =$70,000

$mcCPIx$ = average medical care consumer price index for year x (BLS, 2018a)

$yd$ = year of death

$yME$ = year of medical expense = 2013 dollars

For this model, $mcCPIyME=425.134$.

Indirect Cost

The indirect costs of the fatal mining injuries are derived by calculating the present value of lost household production and future compensation of the miner until the decedent would have reached the estimated retirement age of 67 years, also accounting for the probability of survival. For those who died at or over 67 years of age, only a single year of indirect cost is included in the indirect cost calculation.

Employee compensation is broken down into wage value and benefit value, and therefore, the indirect cost has three components: the wage value, the benefit value, and the household production value. For each year in which the indirect cost is calculated (between $ad$ and $amax$), these three values are summed and then adjusted for the time value of money using the real discount rate. This adjustment is required because the indirect cost represents a future value relative to $yd$. Sixty-seven years was selected as the maximum work age since it is the full retirement age to collect Social Security (SSA, 2018). Indirect cost calculations can be represented as:

= 67

$ad$ = Age of death

$ai$ = age iteration if decedent did not die

The survival probability represents the chance that the decedent would have survived an additional year ($ai$ to $ai+1$) if he or she had not died at $ad$(Arias et al., 2017). Since MSHA does not report a decedent’s race, the survival probability for “all” races is used.

Wages

The wage value estimates the annual income of the decedent if he or she had not died. The model assumes that the decedent had worked full-time in the same occupation until retirement age. The wage value is estimated from base earnings, economy-wide productivity growth, and life-cycle wage growth. The wage value estimate is based on the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ (BLS) Occupational Employment Statistics (BLS, 2018b) annual median wage of individuals sharing the decedent’s occupation based on Standard Occupational Classification codes in $yd$. The decedent’s age and gender are used to account for deviation from the median BLS wage value as follows:

Annual wage is the median annual gross earnings (before taxes and other deductions), based on occupation by state. This is multiplied by a wage adjustor to account for deviations from the median value based on age and sex.

= Median annual wage for a given occupation by state for the year of death

= Adjustment to median earnings by age and sex of decedent

The published median earnings from the BLS Current Population Survey (CPS) for a particular age group was assigned to the median age of that age group (BLS, 2018c). To derive an earnings value for each age, the difference between sequential age groups was calculated as:

Earnings x+1Earnings x

Earnings = CPS published age group earnings

This difference was evenly distributed within the age group by dividing by the number of ages in that age category. Using this quotient, subtract from median income for ages below median, and add to median income for ages above it for each age category. This now creates median incomes for each age. Then the proportion of the median age earnings for each age was determined by dividing by the median income for the entire year to get a proportion of median earnings. The process was repeated for both males and females and for each year of earnings data.

In order to model annual changes in wage, two more adjustments are made to the adjusted wage. First, Employment Cost Index (ECI) accounts for changes due to economy-wide productivity growth. ECI is an indicator of employee costs to businesses and is prepared by the BLS. The employment cost index for wages (ECIW) estimates economy-wide productivity growth, or how much earnings would rise jointly with the growth of the entire U.S. economy (BLS, 2018d). It measures the change in cost of labor and includes changes in wages.

The ECI uses a current-cost approach, where annual costs are calculated based on the current price of benefits. Because this model has the potential to forecast decedent wages for up to 50 years, it uses a long-term productivity growth rate, the average of the percent changes in ECI from 1976–2017 for wages and 1980–2017 for benefits. This inflation-free change in wages and benefits represents an annual proxy for a change in productivity (NIOSH 2011).

$ECIWx$ = the employment cost index for wage rate for year x. This is the 12-month proportional change in ECI for wages and salaries ending in December of the specified year.

$ECIW$ = the average ECIW for goods-producing industries reported over 1976–2017. For this model, it is 0.0930.

Second, the life cycle wage growth rate accounts for changes in wages due to employee experience. This rate was based on mean wages from the historical income tables of the Current Population Survey (CPS) for the years 2010 through 2017 (BLS, 2018c). Mean wages were presented in constant dollars by sex and BLS age group for each year. The rate of change for mean wages was determined for each sex and race within a specific age group. Wages for the initial age group (x) were subtracted from the wages of the next age group (x+1) and divided by the initial age group wage: (x+1)-x/x. This process was repeated for male and female. In this model, it was assumed that the salary growth rate is constant within age groups–in equal increments for each year of age within that age group.

= Salary growth due to experience of individual workers

In order to account for fluctuations in economic conditions over time, the average ECIW for the years, 1976–2017 is used. For the first year, it is assumed that the death occurred in the middle of the year, so only calculate for half of a year:

For the subsequent years, the first-year wage value is used. The ECI wage rate and life cycle growth rate are compounded as follows:

## Benefit Value

To get an accurate representation of the market value for compensation, the value of employee benefits is added to indirect cost. These benefits include the employers’ share of insurance (life, health, and disability), retirement and savings contributions, and legally required payments (Social Security, Medicare, Unemployment, and Workers’ Compensation). Employer Costs for Employee Compensation (ECEC) measures the average cost to employers for benefits per employee hour worked (BLS, 2018e). Benefits are estimated from the adjusted wage.

As previously mentioned, the Employment Cost Index (ECI) accounts for changes due to economy-wide productivity growth. The employment cost index for benefits (ECIB) estimates how much benefits would change jointly with the growth of the entire U.S. economy (BLS 2018f). It measures the change in employee benefit costs. In order to account for fluctuations in economic conditions over time, the average ECIB for the years, 1980–2017 is used. The first-year benefit value is calculated as:

For subsequent years, the first-year value is reused. The ECIB (ECI benefit rate) is compounded as follows:

ECEC = Employer costs for employee compensation

$ECECBx$ = the ECEC benefit rate for year x. This is the ECEC for benefits, expressed as a proportion of total compensation. These include insurance plans, retirement, and legally required benefits.

$ECIBx$ = the Employment Cost Index for benefits for year x. It is the 12-month proportional change in ECI for benefits, ending in December of the specified year. It estimates economy-wide productivity growth. It measures the change in cost of labor and includes changes in wages as well as employee benefit costs.

<ECIB> = the average ECIB from 1980–2017 for private industry. For this calculator, it is 1.147%.

Household Production Value

The value of household production losses associated with a fatally injured miner were derived from time diary data captured in the National Human Activity Pattern Survey (NHAPS), a study sponsored by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and conducted from 1992–1994. The survey inquired about daily activities completed over a 24-hour period (Klepeis et al., 2001). Activities were grouped into five large categories: household production, providing care, hygiene and personal care, leisure, and employment and education (Expectancy Data, 2000). Household production is defined as activities that could produce benefit for all members of the household and includes cooking, housework, cleanup, chores, plant and animal care, home and auto maintenance, and purchasing goods and services. Providing care includes childcare, playing with children, transporting children, and providing care to others. The market replacement value for this time is reported in 1998 dollars and based on total compensation (hourly wages plus the employer’s legally required benefit costs). For this mining fatality cost model, household production and providing care activities were calculated by each age and sex category and multiplied by 365 to obtain annual values. Dollar values are adjusted by the ECI wage rate for all industries (BLS, 2018g).

= x $ECIHPyd$

= market replacement value of household production and providing care. Household production is reported in $yHP$ = 1998 dollars. It is adjusted to using the ECI wage rate ($ECIWx$).

= $∏yj=yHPyd1+ECIWyj$

= Employment cost index for household production.

$ECIWx$ = the ECI wage rate for all industries in year x. Previously in this model, it was only from goods-producing industries.

Gross domestic product (GDP) is the value of the goods and services produced in the United States. The GDP deflator measures the level of price inflation with respect to a base dollar year. To adjust for inflation, the sum of the direct and indirect costs are multiplied by the quotient of the GDP deflator of the year of death divided by the GDP deflator of the dollar year used to measure the societal cost. This is represented as:

$GDPdyGDPdyd$

$GDPdx$ = GDP deflator for year x (BEA, 2018)

$yd$ = year of death

$y$ = dollar year

The social discount rate is used for public health evaluations, and it is a rate at which society is willing to exchange present costs for future benefits. The discount rate appropriate for use in economic analyses of health-care interventions is 3% (Neumann et al., 2016). The discount rate already accounts for inflation, so there is no need for further adjustment. The work in this paper uses the three percent discount rate; however, it is recommended to recalculate cost estimates using alternative discount rates to demonstrate the effect of initial assumptions regarding appropriate societal rate. It is appropriate to use a rate between zero and ten percent in a sensitivity analysis.

The overall lifetime societal costs of fatal occupational injury in mining is calculated by combining the present discounted value of loss per individual (indirect costs) with the medical expenditures related to the fatal injury (direct costs).

The cost model explained above was written into a computer program that uses key variables from the fatal injuries sorted from the MSHA accident/injury/illness files (including occupation, state, year, gender, age, etc.) to make the cost estimates. Reports can be run using many of the MSHA mine-specific variables such as state, number of employees working at the mine, subunit, commodity, and accident/injury/illness specific variables (including accident classification, source of injury, and the decedent’s occupation, mining experience, and age).

## Example Results

All cost estimates are in 2017 dollars and are discounted at 3%. Median and mean costs are included to help show cost distribution. The median provides a good estimate for a single fatal injury. However, the mean can shed light on the high cost of fatal injuries. For example, if the mean is much higher than the median, then there is at least one cost outlier or a very high-cost estimate that is driving up the mean cost.

Table 1 displays the annual counts and median, mean, and total cost estimates for fatal mining injuries from 2008–2017 for all mining commodities. Counts, average costs, and total costs have been on a downward trend since 2014; however, 2017 has the highest median cost and second highest mean cost during the 2008-2017 time period.

The 11 states with the highest number of fatal occupational mining injuries and the estimated lifetime societal costs are shown in Table 2. West Virginia led all states by far with 83 fatal injuries with an estimated total cost of $118.989 million. Kentucky had the second highest number of fatal injuries with 53 during the 2008–2017 time period and the second highest total cost with an estimated$81.016 million. Illinois had the highest median cost at $1.721 million per fatal injury, and the highest mean cost with$1.577 million per fatal injury.

Fatal injury counts and associated lifetime societal costs by MSHA canvass are shown in Table 3. Bituminous coal mining had the most fatal injuries from 2008–2017 with 206 fatal injuries and the highest societal cost totaling over $302 million. Coal mining made up over half of the fatal injuries and half of the total societal costs for the entire mining industry during this time period. Stone mining was a distant second with 81 fatal injuries and total societal costs just over$98 million.

Table 1: Number and lifetime societal costs (represented in millions of U.S. dollars) of fatal mining injuries by year, 2008–2017, for all mining commodities.

 Year Count Median Mean Total 2008 53 $1.261$1.232 $65.317 2009 35 1.200 1.241 43.418 2010 72 1.500 1.468 105.695 2011 37 1.483 1.511 55.903 2012 36 1.487 1.422 51.180 2013 42 1.457 1.304 54.756 2014 47 1.546 1.402 65.876 2015 29 1.367 1.302 37.747 2016 25 1.274 1.304 32.588 2017 28 1.641 1.488 41.677 Total 404$1.424 $1.372$554.157

Table 2: Number and lifetime societal costs (represented in millions of U.S. dollars) of fatal mining injuries for states with the highest fatal injury counts, 2008–2017, for all mining commodities.

 State Count Median Mean Total West Virginia 83 $1.422$1.434 $118.989 Kentucky 53 1.680 1.529$81.016 Pennsylvania 20 1.554 1.422 28.445 Nevada 19 1.511 1.478 28.088 Alabama 18 1.604 1.543 27.772 Texas 18 1.254 1.346 24.234 Illinois 17 1.721 1.577 26.802 Virginia 12 1.544 1.459 17.509 Arizona 11 1.543 1.304 14.341 New York 10 1.374 1.388 13.882 California 10 1.175 1.013 10.132

Table 3: Number and lifetime societal costs (represented in millions of U.S. dollars) of fatal mining injuries, 2008–2017, by MSHA Canvass or product class.

 MSHA Canvass Count Median Mean Total Coal – Bituminous 206 $1.492$1.466 $302.057 Stone 81 1.257 1.214 98.329 Metal 47 1.580 1.467 68.939 Sand and Gravel 43 1.179 1.086 46.718 Nonmetal 25 1.101 1.358 33.957 Coal – Anthracite 2 2.078 2.078 4.157 The MSHA subunit indicates the location at a mine where the fatal injury occurred. Table 4 shows that 167 fatal injuries occurred underground with a total societal cost estimate of$257.813 million. Strip and open pit mining had the second highest counts and total costs with 156 fatal injuries at a cost of $192.670 million. Table 4: Number and lifetime societal costs (represented in millions of U.S. dollars) of fatal mining injuries, 2008-2017, by MSHA subunit or work location of fatally injured miner.  MSHA Subunit Count Median Mean Total Underground operations 167$1.607 $1.544$257.813 Strip or open pit 156 1.257 1.235 192.670 Mill or preparation plant 46 1.353 1.365 62.809 Surface operations at underground mine 18 0.987 1.006 18.109 Dredge 10 1.317 1.305 13.045 Office 3 0.802 1.213 3.638 Independent shops and yards 2 1.106 1.106 2.213 Auger 1 1.820 1.820 1.820 Culm bank 1 2.038 2.038 2.038

Societal costs can also be evaluated according to the size of the mine. MSHA provides the average number of employees in their address/employment data set. The average number of employees employed per year can be used as a surrogate for mine size. Table 5 shows the number of fatal injuries and their associated societal costs by average number of employees working at the mine. While the distribution seems even, as the smallest three employee categories (generally considered “small” mines) have similar values to the largest employee category, mines that employed an average of 250 or more employees per year, which had the most fatal injuries, 91, and the highest societal cost at over $132 million. Besides mine-specific information, costs can be reported by accident-specific details. Table 6 shows the most common mine worker activity that the decedent was performing when the fatal accident occurred. Sixty-two fatal injuries occurred during machine maintenance and repair, the most common mine worker activity associated with a fatality, with a total societal cost of over$87 million. It is worth noting that the second highest mine worker activity is “unknown,” which means that it is not clear what the fatally injured miner was doing when the injury occurred. These unknown activities contributed to over $53.5 million in societal cost. Table 5: Number and lifetime societal costs (represented in millions of U.S. dollars) of fatal mining injuries, 2008-2017, by average number of employees working at mine.  Number of Employees at Mine Count Median Mean Total Fewer than 5 19$1.113 $1.158$22.021 5-9 34 1.304 1.168 39.720 10-19 40 1.157 1.254 50.146 20-34 35 1.640 1.472 51.528 35-49 23 1.299 1.366 31.422 50-99 83 1.422 1.428 118.561 100-149 34 1.404 1.358 46.188 150-249 43 1.431 1.396 60.049 250 or more 91 1.562 1.452 132.122

Table 6: Number and lifetime costs (represented in millions of U.S. dollars) of fatal mining injuries, 2008–2017, by most common mine worker activity of fatally injured miner.

 Mine Worker Activity Count Median Mean Total Machine maintenance/repair 62 $1.568$1.414 $87.665 Unknown 35 1.591 1.531 53.583 Operate haulage truck 32 1.368 1.280 40.957 Walking/running 26 1.125 1.096 28.505 Operate continuous miner 23 1.888 1.756 40.393 Operate bulldozer 14 1.116 1.117 15.639 Handling supplies or material, load and unload 13 1.457 1.379 17.927 Operate utility truck 12 1.369 1.455 17.458 Inspect equipment 10 1.680 1.603 16.028 Operate power shovel /dragline / backhoe 10 1.072 1.296 12.957 Accident classifications of fatal injuries are displayed in Table 7. Powered haulage is a category that covers the haulage of materials and personnel, and includes haul trucks and conveyor belts. Powered haulage was involved in 116 fatal accidents and accrued a total societal cost of$150.702 million. Machinery was involved in 79 fatal accidents with a total societal cost of approximately $106.815 million. Falling material is separated into three different classifications, but when combined, they are responsible for 92 fatal injuries and total almost$135 million in societal costs.

Societal costs can also be estimated based on characteristics of the deceased miner. Table 8 shows the number of fatal injuries and the associated estimated societal costs by categories of years of total mining experience. The category of four to nine years of total mining experience had the most fatal injuries, with 91, and the highest societal costs, with over $145 million. The second most fatal injuries occurred in the 27–49 years of mining experience category. This category had 74 fatal injuries and total societal costs of approximately$72 million. Even though this category had the second highest number of fatal injuries, the total costs were much lower than the lower categories of mining experience. This is likely due to the correlation of higher experience with older age. On average, miners with this much work experience are going to be older than miners with much less mining experience and the societal costs in this model stop calculating at age 67, which is the estimated age of retirement.

Table 7: Accident classification, number and lifetime costs (represented in millions of U.S. dollars) of fatal mining injuries, 2008-2017, for all mining commodities.

 Accident Classification Count Median Mean Total Powered haulage 116 $1.273$1.299 $150.702 Machinery 79 1.548 1.352 106.815 Falling, rolling, or sliding rock or material of any kind 36 1.282 1.272 45.805 Slip or fall of person (from an elevation or on the same level) 36 1.146 1.143 41.135 Ignition or explosion of gas or dust 32 1.543 1.544 49.399 Fall of face, rib, pillar, side, or high wall (from in place) 31 1.774 1.667 51.664 Fall of roof, back, or brow (from in place) 25 1.505 1.430 35.745 Electrical 14 1.845 1.753 24.541 Table 8: Years of total mining experience of fatally injured miner, number and lifetime costs (represented in millions of U.S. dollars) of fatal mining injuries, 2008-2017 for all mining commodities.  Years of Experience Count Median Mean Total Fewer than 1 52$1.728 $1.649$85.754 1-3 56 1.675 1.578 88.346 4-9 91 1.690 1.601 145.706 10-17 66 1.479 1.402 92.560 18-26 52 1.085 1.080 56.171 27-49 74 0.983 0.977 72.294 50 or more 1 0.075 0.075 0.075 Unknown 12 1.141 1.104 13.249

## Discussion

The cost-of-injury method for measuring economic burden of fatal mining injuries estimates the potential costs that could be saved if the fatal injury did not occur. Knowledge of these costs can help policy makers decide which mining commodities or accident causes need to be addressed first through prevention efforts or increased health and safety research.

The Upper Big Branch mine disaster occurred in April 2010 and resulted in twenty-nine fatal injuries. This would have an impact on West Virginia, the coal commodity, the ignition/explosion accident classification, and the 2010 fatal injury count and cost data. The web application allows the display of costs by mine ID, and therefore the societal costs of mine disasters can be calculated. The Upper Big Branch Mine-South has a mine ID of 46-08436, and the twenty-nine fatal injuries from the April 2010 explosion had an estimated total societal cost of $45.491 million and a median cost of$1.591 million per deceased miner.

These are the only current mining-specific fatal injury burden estimates for the U.S. that the author has been able to identify. Much of the mining-related burden estimates are from twenty-five-year-old data that combines mining with oil and gas, and gives one aggregate cost for a ten-year period (NIOSH 2009, 2011). It is difficult to compare these current estimates to previous cost estimates; however, the mean and median total costs are in line with the previous NIOSH estimates after adjusting for inflation.

The Bureau of Mines sponsored the development of the Accident Cost Indicator Model (ACIM) in the late 1970s. The ACIM (DiCanio and Nakata, 1976) provides cost estimates for underground coal mines based on publicly available data on wages, workers’ compensation claims, medical payments, investigation costs, and other direct and indirect costs. It was designed to provide a useful guideline on the magnitude of costs suffered by individuals, mining industry, and society. The last known published results from this model were from Randolph and Boldt’s (1997) work on haulage accidents where the six haul truck related fatal injuries had an estimated total cost of \$2.58 million.

This current model will be maintained on the NIOSH Mining web page as a web application called Fatalities Cost in Mining. Users will be able to select characteristics of the fatal injury (occupational, mine, incident, and employer), select a dollar year and discount rate for calculations, then generate a cost report based on victim, mine, and/or accident related variables. A few examples of these reports are shown in the Results section. This model is expected to be updated annually and maintained for years to come.

## Limitations

In light of the many advantages of the method, the cost-of-injury methodology has some limitations. It can show which kinds of fatal injuries may require increased prevention resources. This methodology does not measure benefits, but provides the framework and important cost information when conducting cost-effectiveness or cost-benefit analyses, which can determine the best course of action for prevention.

As previously mentioned, the entire burden of a fatal mining injury is not captured by this model, as intangible losses of premature death are not included. The more extended nature of the degree of the fatal occupational injury problem includes the cost of suffering and role loss. These subjective and personal components are difficult to measure and are not considered in these calculations.

It is also important to note that cost-of-injury method is just one way to measure economic burden. Other notable methods including willingness-to-pay and willingness-to-accept are commonly used to determine the value of a statistical life and tend to provide higher cost estimates for fatal injuries. The cost-of-injury method used for developing these estimates produces a conservative estimate for the lifetime economic costs of fatal mining injuries. The estimates are based on many factors and are subject to the limitations of the model used as well as the limitations associated with the level of detail of the some of the data in the calculations. The wage data is not specific to the mining industry as the data are from state averages by occupation. The mining-specific wage data acquired by NIOSH was not robust enough to use for specific mining occupations throughout the United States. Additionally, specific benefits data by industry and occupation would improve burden cost estimates.

Finally, these estimates are only for fatal mining injuries. They do not include deaths from mining related illnesses or diseases, as these are not normally included in the MSHA fatality data. They can be extremely difficult to estimate due to unknown exposures as well as long latency periods. Therefore, this work focused only on fatal injuries.

Despite the acknowledged limits of the burden estimates, they do offer important applied value. The cost estimates provide information to policy and decision makers on relevant costs of fatal mining occupational injuries in relation to costs and selection of prevention programs. These cost outcomes represent income that is not received and medical expenses incurred because of a fatal injury and, therefore, have direct impact on state, regional, and national economic measures of goods and services production, such as GDP and other national income measures. The estimates can be used to plan, enhance, and prioritize mining injury prevention and control programs, policy analysis, evaluations of health and safety interventions, and promotion for a safer work environment.

## Conclusion

The cost model and data sources used in the Fatalities Cost in Mining methodology in this research combine to form an effective tool for determining the societal cost of fatal mining injuries. These cost estimates can be used to determine the specific burden of injury to particular demographic groups, as well as the circumstances of injury. This can be extremely useful in determining the cost to various constituencies—to the country, states, and geographical regions, and to mining commodities and occupations. In addition, this work provides the frequency of fatal mining events to indicate the extent of the occupational fatal injury problem. The contribution of this societal cost estimation data, in identifying the financial cost of fatal mining occupational injuries, constitutes a major component in defining the scope of these fatal injuries. The use of economic losses, such as those calculated using the Fatalities Cost in Mining model described in this paper, provides an additional measure to existing societal measures of frequency and rate of injury to assist in defining the overall dimensions of traumatic workplace fatalities in the mining industry.

## Acknowledgements

This work would not have been possible without the groundwork laid by the late Elyce A. Biddle, PhD, valuable feedback provided by NIOSH ERSO group, and the programming work of Steven C. Williams and Jonathan E. Fritz.

## Disclaimer

The findings and conclusions in this document are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the official position of the National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Mention of any company or product does not constitute endorsement by NIOSH.

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